July 11, 2025 2:25 PM

China’s GDP growth set to slow, raising pressure on policymakers

China's economy is expected to have slowed down in the second quarter from a solid start to the year as trade tensions with the United States added to deflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations that Beijing may need to roll out more stimulus. The world's second-largest economy has so far avoided a sharp slowdown in part due to a fragile U.S.-China trade truce and policy stimulus, but markets are braced for a gloomier second half pressured by slowing exports, weak consumer demand, and a pe...

June 9, 2025 10:30 AM

China’s May exports slow, deflation deepens as tariffs bite

China's May export growth slowed to a three-month low as U.S. tariffs slammed shipments, while factory-gate deflation deepened to its worst level in two years, heaping pressure on the world's second-largest economy on both the domestic and external fronts. The global trade war and the swings in China-U.S. trade ties have in the past two months sent Chinese exporters, along with their business partners across the Pacific, on a roller coaster ride and hobbled world growth. Exports expanded 4.8% ...

January 14, 2025 2:16 PM

China’s growth seen slowing to 4.5% in 2025 as US tariffs bite

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending U.S. tariff hikes. Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters. "We (also) foresee property...