inflation

June 27, 2025 4:42 PM

US stock futures rise ahead of inflation data as investors anticipate dovish Fed

U.S. stock index futures surged on Friday, putting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on track for record highs as investors geared up for a key inflation report amid signs of a dovish policy outlook from the Federal Reserve this year. Personal Consumption Expenditure data - the U.S. central bank's preferred inflation gauge - for May is due to be released at 08:30 a.m. ET and will be scrutinized to assess the Fed's interest-rate path as tariffs weigh on prices. As the ceasefire in the Middle East ...

June 13, 2025 2:28 PM

Inflation to average 2.5% over next six months: HSBC

India’s inflation is expected to average around 2.5 per cent over the next six months, according to a report by HSBC Global Research released on Friday. The report attributed the softer inflation outlook to a high base effect from last year, as well as stable food prices and adequate grain supplies. Data for June is already trending slightly below May levels, it noted. “Vegetable prices in the first 10 days of June have increased in the range of 0–13 per cent, but the high base from last...

June 7, 2025 6:35 PM

Inflation eases to 3.2% in April 2025; RBI projects continued moderation

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has reported a significant decline in consumer price index (CPI) inflation, which moderated to 3.2% year-on-year in April 2025—the lowest in nearly six years. This marks the sixth consecutive month of declining food inflation, while core inflation remained steady during March and April. Favorable Agricultural Outlook The RBI attributes this decline to several factors, including record wheat production, higher yields of key pulses during the Rabi season, and ...

June 6, 2025 2:11 PM

RBI reduces inflation forecast to 3.7% for 2025-26

The Reserve Bank of India has revised its inflation outlook for 2025-26 downwards from the earlier forecast of 4 per cent to 3.7 per cent, said RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra on Friday. The RBI Governor pointed out that CPI headline inflation continued its declining trajectory in March-April, with headline CPI inflation moderating to a nearly six-year low of 3.2 per cent (year-on-year) in April 2025. This was led mainly by food inflation, which recorded the sixth consecutive monthly decline. He ...

May 28, 2025 3:22 PM

Above-normal monsoon to boost farm output, ease inflation: report

The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) forecast of an above-normal monsoon is expected to drive higher agricultural production and rural demand, while helping to keep inflation under control, according to a Crisil report released on Wednesday. The IMD has predicted above-normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season (June to September), estimating it at 106 per cent of the long-period average (LPA). “If the forecast—which would mark the second consecutive year of an above-norm...

April 9, 2025 2:30 PM

RBI cuts inflation forecast to 4% for FY26 on improved food outlook

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has revised its inflation forecast for 2025-26 to 4.0%, down from 4.2%, citing a significant improvement in the food inflation outlook, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Wednesday. “Headline inflation moderated in January-February 2025 following a sharp correction in food inflation,” Malhotra stated, adding that uncertainties around Rabi crops have eased. Second advance estimates point to record wheat and higher pulse production, which, along with robust K...

April 7, 2025 4:44 PM

Invest in quality stocks with strong business models amid global uncertainty: SBI report

As global economic uncertainties rise due to US trade tariff tensions, inflation risks, and volatile markets, a new report released on Monday recommended investing in quality businesses for long-term gains. “Investors should focus on companies that have strong business models, clear earnings growth potential, and steady cash flows, especially during times of heightened macroeconomic instability,” according to the report by SBI Funds Management. The report highlights that global financial m...

March 12, 2025 11:09 AM

India’s wholesale inflation likely eased to 2% in February: UBI report

India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation is expected to have fallen to 2% in February 2025, down from 2.3% in January, driven by a drop in oil prices and a seasonal decline in food prices, according to a report by Union Bank of India (UBI). The report noted that the primary factor behind the moderation in WPI inflation was the sharp decline in vegetable prices, a major component of food inflation. Vegetable prices are estimated to have dropped by 12% month-on-month, helping to ease infla...

March 12, 2025 10:59 AM

US Education Department to cut half its staff as Trump eyes its elimination

March 8, 2025 6:26 PM

Cooling inflation could pave way for RBI rate cuts: report

India’s inflation fell to 4.31 per cent in January from 5.22 per cent, approaching the RBI’s 4 per cent target after four months above 5 per cent and this trend reinforces the case for potential rate cuts, with the repo rate at 6.25 per cent, a new report showed on Saturday. The observed market trajectory suggests a cautious sentiment among investors, potentially influenced by macroeconomic conditions, sector-specific developments, and global financial market trends, according to the Moti...