inflation

April 9, 2025 2:30 PM

RBI cuts inflation forecast to 4% for FY26 on improved food outlook

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has revised its inflation forecast for 2025-26 to 4.0%, down from 4.2%, citing a significant improvement in the food inflation outlook, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Wednesday. “Headline inflation moderated in January-February 2025 following a sharp correction in food inflation,” Malhotra stated, adding that uncertainties around Rabi crops have eased. Second advance estimates point to record wheat and higher pulse production, which, along with robust K...

April 7, 2025 4:44 PM

Invest in quality stocks with strong business models amid global uncertainty: SBI report

As global economic uncertainties rise due to US trade tariff tensions, inflation risks, and volatile markets, a new report released on Monday recommended investing in quality businesses for long-term gains. “Investors should focus on companies that have strong business models, clear earnings growth potential, and steady cash flows, especially during times of heightened macroeconomic instability,” according to the report by SBI Funds Management. The report highlights that global financial m...

March 12, 2025 11:09 AM

India’s wholesale inflation likely eased to 2% in February: UBI report

India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation is expected to have fallen to 2% in February 2025, down from 2.3% in January, driven by a drop in oil prices and a seasonal decline in food prices, according to a report by Union Bank of India (UBI). The report noted that the primary factor behind the moderation in WPI inflation was the sharp decline in vegetable prices, a major component of food inflation. Vegetable prices are estimated to have dropped by 12% month-on-month, helping to ease infla...

March 12, 2025 10:59 AM

US Education Department to cut half its staff as Trump eyes its elimination

March 8, 2025 6:26 PM

Cooling inflation could pave way for RBI rate cuts: report

India’s inflation fell to 4.31 per cent in January from 5.22 per cent, approaching the RBI’s 4 per cent target after four months above 5 per cent and this trend reinforces the case for potential rate cuts, with the repo rate at 6.25 per cent, a new report showed on Saturday. The observed market trajectory suggests a cautious sentiment among investors, potentially influenced by macroeconomic conditions, sector-specific developments, and global financial market trends, according to the Moti...

February 7, 2025 11:46 AM

RBI projects 6.7% GDP growth for FY26; inflation in FY25 to remain at 4.8%

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected a real GDP growth of 6.4% for FY25, with expectations of economic activity picking up in the second half of the fiscal year. This growth is anticipated to be driven by improvements in agriculture and manufacturing sectors. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, while announcing the outcome of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, stated that for FY26, GDP growth is estimated at 6.7%. The quarterly projections for FY26 are as follows: Q1 FY26: 6.7%, Q2...

February 3, 2025 5:22 PM

Inflation eases, growth picks up, Crisil’s economic forecast for FY26

India’s economy is poised to grow at 6.5 percent in the financial year 2025-26 (FY26), slightly surpassing the 6.4 percent growth forecast for the current fiscal year, according to a recent report by Crisil. The report underscores that a combination of lower inflation and anticipated rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will support economic growth, assuming there are no major global shocks and the country experiences a normal monsoon. "Lower inflation and the RBI's rate cuts are exp...

January 14, 2025 12:47 PM

India’s GDP growth likely to reach 6.7% next fiscal: Crisil

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is projected to improve to 6.7% in the next fiscal year (FY25), according to a Crisil Intelligence report. The report noted that a sustained decline in food inflation, combined with stable non-food inflation, could create room for a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in the coming months. Headline inflation is steadily progressing toward the RBI's 4% target, as food inflation eased for the second consecutive month and non-food inflation rem...

January 7, 2025 2:33 PM

India to clock faster GDP growth for Oct-Dec, inflation easing: HSBC research

India’s GDP growth momentum has improved in the October-December quarter of the current financial year (FY25), with inflation easing, according to an HSBC Research report released on Tuesday. “GDP growth came in at a disappointing 5.4% in the quarter ending September. Our analysis of 100 activity indicators suggests that the growth momentum has improved in the quarter ending December,” the report said. As many as 65% of the indicators are growing at a positive pace in the December quarte...

January 6, 2025 12:43 PM

Goldman Sachs sees India among top emerging markets in 2025

Goldman Sachs has projected India to be among the best-performing emerging markets in 2025, citing the country’s robust macroeconomic stability backed by improving terms of trade, effective inflation targeting, and reliable domestic risk capital. The global investment bank has forecast earnings growth of 18-20 per cent annually over the next 4-5 years, driven by an emerging private capex cycle, corporate balance sheet re-leveraging, and a structural rise in discretionary consumption. These f...