India’s CPI Inflation to Average 4% in FY26, 75 bps Rate Easing Likely: Morgan Stanley

March 18, 2025 11:20 AM

India’s CPI Inflation to Average 4% in FY26, 75 bps Rate Easing Likely: Morgan Stanley

A report by Morgan Stanley on Tuesday projected that India’s consumer price index (CPI) inflation is expected to average 4% in FY26, paving the way for a cumulative 75 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)—an upward revision from the previously estimated 50 bps easing cycle. The report noted that lower trailing inflation, primarily due to easing food prices, has created space for additional rate cuts. "We have updated our monetary policy outlook to incorporate one ...

Budget math looks realistic, economic growth to pick up pace: Morgan Stanley

February 3, 2025 12:04 PM

Budget math looks realistic, economic growth to pick up pace: Morgan Stanley

The Union Budget has managed to meet the goals of boosting consumption though tax cuts, increasing capex through transfers to states, and maintaining the path of fiscal consolidation which is expected to lead to a recovery in the economic growth rate with macro stability in a comfortable range, according to a Morgan Stanley report released on Monday. The report said that both fiscal and monetary policy are pivoting to support growth, which is in line with “our view of a cyclical recovery in g...