Monsoon Forecast

July 29, 2026 2:44 PM

Monsoon forecast accuracy improves sharply since 2021, says government

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has significantly improved the accuracy of its long-range monsoon forecasts since adopting an advanced Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system in 2021, the government informed Parliament on Wednesday. In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, Minister of State (Independent Charge) for Earth Sciences Dr. Jitendra Singh said the IMD's operational long-range forecasts issued since 2021 have remained within the prescribed forecast error limits. The ave...

November 16, 2025 3:38 PM

Cold wave persists in central and northern India; heavy rainfall forecast for southern states

Cold wave conditions continued across central and parts of northwest and east India on Sunday, with temperatures expected to remain low for the next two to three days before a slight rise. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), several regions, particularly Madhya Pradesh, eastern Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, experienced cold wave to severe cold wave conditions in the past 24 hours. Minimum temperatures fell by 2-3°C across many parts of central, northwest, east and north penin...

November 13, 2025 3:48 PM

Cold wave conditions to persist over parts of MP and Chhattisgarh; heavy rains likely over southern states

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said that cold wave conditions are likely to continue over parts of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh till November 16, even as southern states brace for another spell of heavy rainfall. The IMD said that cold to severe cold wave conditions are likely to prevail over western Madhya Pradesh on November 13 and 14, extending to isolated pockets of eastern Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh through November 16. The mercury has dropped significantly across centra...

November 12, 2025 4:03 PM

Cold wave grips central India; heavy rain forecast for Tamil Nadu and Kerala

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Wednesday said that cold wave conditions are likely to continue across parts of western Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan until November 15. The weather agency also predicted isolated heavy rainfall over Tamil Nadu on Wednesday and over Kerala and Mahe on November 12 and 13. Over the next few days, light to moderate rain and thunderstorms are likely in many parts of southern India. Tamil Nadu is expected to experience isolated heavy showers...

November 10, 2025 4:17 PM

Cold wave to grip central and northern India; heavy rain likely over southern states

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday forecast cold wave to severe cold wave conditions over several parts of central and northern India during the next few days, while isolated heavy rainfall is expected over southern states, including Tamil Nadu and Kerala. According to the IMD, cold wave to severe cold wave conditions are very likely to prevail in isolated pockets of western Madhya Pradesh from November 10 to 12. Cold wave conditions are also likely in parts of Haryana, Chandig...

November 7, 2025 2:23 PM

Heavy rain forecast for southern India; Delhi to see clear skies and low night temperatures

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday said that isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu from November 7 to 9 and over Kerala from November 8 to 10. In the past 24 hours, isolated heavy rain was recorded in parts of southern interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. IMD defines heavy rain as rainfall between 64.5 mm and 115.5 mm, very heavy rain as rainfall between 115.6 mm and 204.4 mm, and extremely heavy rain as rainfall exceeding 204.4 mm. The IMD reported that night tempe...

November 6, 2025 2:43 PM

IMD forecasts heavy rain for Tamil Nadu and Kerala

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday forecast isolated heavy rainfall over Tamil Nadu between November 6 and 8, and over Kerala from November 8 to 10. During the past 24 hours (ending at 8:30 a.m. on November 6), heavy to very heavy rainfall was recorded at isolated places in Tamil Nadu. IMD defines heavy rain as rainfall between 64.5 mm and 115.5 mm, very heavy rain as rainfall between 115.6 mm and 204.4 mm, and extremely heavy rain as rainfall exceeding 204.4 mm. Meanwhile,...

November 3, 2025 2:36 PM

Western disturbance to influence weather conditions over northwest India on Nov 4-5: IMD

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday said that a fresh Western Disturbance is likely to influence weather conditions over northwest India on November 4 and 5. The system is likely to bring changes in temperature and wind patterns across the region, including Delhi-NCR. In the past 24 hours (ending at 8:30 a.m. on Monday) heavy rainfall measuring 7–11 cm was recorded at isolated places over Konkan and Goa. In Delhi-NCR, the weather will remain mainly clear on Monday, with maxim...

November 2, 2025 6:28 PM

Heavy rainfall likely over Andaman & Nicobar islands; partly cloudy skies and shallow fog in Delhi till Nov 5

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that a fresh Western Disturbance will impact the western Himalayan region from November 4, while a low-pressure area forming over the east-central Bay of Bengal and adjoining Myanmar coast is expected to cause isolated heavy rainfall over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands on Sunday. During the past 24 hours (ending at 8:30 a.m. on Sunday), heavy rainfall was recorded at isolated places across Saurashtra & Kutch, Konkan & Goa, centra...

October 31, 2025 3:10 PM

Heavy rainfall likely over Gujarat, Bihar, sub-Himalayan West Bengal; Delhi to witness clear skies with haze

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast heavy to very heavy rainfall over Gujarat, Bihar, and sub-Himalayan West Bengal on Friday, due to active weather systems over the Arabian Sea and eastern India. A depression currently lies over the east-central Arabian Sea, while a well-marked low-pressure area persists over northwest Jharkhand and its neighbourhood. Under their combined influence, Gujarat is expected to receive heavy to very heavy rainfall, while north Konkan and north cen...